The selected odds of 1.36 imply a probability of 73.5%. However, based on the very limited head-to-head statistics (2 wins and 2 draws for PSG out of 6 matches against Arsenal), the historical probability for a DC 1/X (Paris Saint-Germain Win or Draw) is 66.7% (4/6). This results in a negative value edge of -9.3%, indicating the market odds are shorter than what the historical H2H data suggests. With no further statistical data (form, league position, recent performance, etc.) available for a more robust estimation, the estimated probability is conservative. The negative value edge and limited supporting data result in low confidence and the risk is assessed as medium despite the double chance nature of the bet.