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AFC Ajax

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Finished

PSV Eindhoven

Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Over 2.5
@1.36
Value Enhancement Pick

"This is a classic Eredivisie top-of-the-table clash between two highly offensive teams, Ajax (Rank 4) and PSV (Rank 1). PSV is the league leader and in great scoring form, while Ajax is also performing well and potent at home. Matches between these two sides, and in the Eredivisie generally, often produce many goals. The estimated 85% probability for Over 2.5 goals provides a substantial value edge."

True Prob.

85%

Risk Class

Low

Value Edge

+15.6%

Placement

Single

Community Prediction

Match Result

AFC Ajax to win33.4%
Draw16.3%
PSV Eindhoven to win50.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes93.1%
No6.9%

First Team to Score

AFC Ajax34.4%
PSV Eindhoven63.1%
No Goal2.5%

Advanced Match Statistics

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95 - 1.80

Ball Possession

49% - 51%

Total Shots

13 - 7

Match Lineups

AFC Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3

Starting XI
26Maarten Paes
3Anton Gaaei
37Josip Šutalo
15Youri Baas
2Lucas Rosa
6Youri Regeer
4Kou Itakura
24Jorthy Mokio
23Steven Berghuis
9Kasper Dolberg
11Mika Godts
Substitutes
48Sean Steur
10Oscar Gloukh
43Rayane Bounida
19Don-Angelo Konadu
52Paul Reverson
62Aymean el Hani
32Takehiro Tomiyasu
45Ryan van de Pavert
30Aaron Bouwman
7Maher Carrizo
17Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

PSV Eindhoven

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Starting XI
32Matěj Kovář
25Kiliann Sildillia
6Ryan Flamingo
3Yarek Gasiorowski
17Mauro Júnior
10Paul Wanner
23Joey Veerman
19Esmir Bajraktarević
20Guus Til
11Couhaib Driouech
9Ricardo Pepi
Substitutes
31Noah Fernandez
8Sergiño Dest
27Dennis Man
21Myron Boadu
35Joel Van Den Berg
24Niek Schiks
1Nick Olij
4Armando Obispo
52Jordy Bawuah
56Jim Koller

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