Almería vs FC Andorra Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

ESP - LaLiga2

Almería

2 - 1

Finished

FC Andorra

Nov 14, 2026, 5:30 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Home Win at 1.82 (78% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.82
Correct Score2-0
Probability78%
Value Edge: +5.8%
Market Role: Value Anchor
Risk Level: Moderate

Tactical Outlook

Almería enters this fixture with a clear tactical superiority, prioritizing high-pressing transitions to exploit FC Andorra’s defensive vulnerability in possession. By maintaining a narrow structure in the midfield, the hosts aim to disrupt the visitors' build-up play and transition rapidly into the final third. Controlling the tempo early will be essential to forcing Andorra out of their compact low-block, which has shown cracks under pressure in recent away matches.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed inclusion of Almería’s primary creative playmaker provides a significant boost to their offensive fluidity, ensuring consistent service to the strikers. Conversely, FC Andorra faces a critical absence in their defensive transition core, forcing a reshuffle that likely leaves gaps in the half-spaces. This lineup disparity shifts the balance of power decisively toward the home side’s ability to sustain attacks throughout the ninety minutes.

Betting Verdict

The current price of 1.82 presents a strong value proposition, as the market likely underestimates Almería's home-field dominance. With a high likelihood of a clean sheet and sustained pressure, the Home Win market is mathematically favored over the implied probability. A measured stake is recommended given the tendency for lower-league matches to experience variance in the final stages.

Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
51
49
Exp. Goals
1.23
1.37
Total Shots
5
16
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Almería

1Andrés Fernández
21Chumi
5Jorge Pulido
18Federico Bonini
15Leonardo Lelo
6Mikel Vesga
14Javi Muñoz
23Adrián Embarba
11Sergio Arribas
33Quim Junyent
24Miguel de la Fuente

Substitutes

22Daijiro Chirino
8Gui Guedes
3Álex Muñoz
12Léo Baptistão
31Áron Yaakobishvili
13Fernando Martínez
32Andrej Popović
20Álex Sola
27Dani Sanchez
7Jon Morcillo
9Thalys

FC Andorra

13Pau López
17Thomas Carrique
5Bomba
23Diego Alende
10Marc Domènech
14Sergio Molina
16Randy Schneider
22Diego Díaz
19Nacho Quintana
21Moró Sidibe
15Jordi Cano

Substitutes

6Hugo Solozábal
12Enes Sali
27Stefan Golubović
29Hugo López
7Alex Calvo
1Nico Ratti
18Andoni López
2Juan Sebastián
3Lautaro Spatz
9Julian Rijkhoff
28Tiago Olmedo

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Almería · 5 · 1.23 xGFC Andorra · 13 · 1.20 xG
3' Diego Díaz — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG15' Thomas Carrique — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG17' Randy Schneider — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG52' Randy Schneider — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG53' Stefan Golubović — Miss, 0.04 xG61' Randy Schneider — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG61' Enes Sali — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG62' Hugo López — Miss, 0.03 xG66' Hugo López — Goal, 0.79 xG67' Hugo López — Miss, 0.11 xG76' Moró Sidibe — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG90' Stefan Golubović — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG90' Thomas Carrique — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG7' Miguel de la Fuente — AttemptSaved, 0.18 xG19' Miguel de la Fuente — AttemptSaved, 0.14 xG26' Sergio Arribas — Goal, 0.79 xG39' Miguel de la Fuente — Goal, 0.05 xG57' Miguel de la Fuente — Miss, 0.08 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Almería vs FC Andorra Questions

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