Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT-2 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 0

Finished

NK Celje

Sep 16, 2026, 7:00 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Over 2.5 at 1.28 (88% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Over 2.5
@1.28
Correct Score3-1
Probability88%
Value Edge: +4.2%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

: Bayer Leverkusen operates with an aggressive high-pressing system that forces defensive errors and creates consistent transition opportunities. Under Xabi Alonso, their attacking fluidity consistently breaks down lower-tier opponents, leading to frequent multi-goal matches. NK Celje lacks the structural discipline to contain Leverkusen’s width, making a high-scoring affair highly probable.

Lineup Impact

: Leverkusen is expected to deploy their primary attacking midfielders, ensuring clinical distribution and high shot volume from the start. Key playmakers are fit and in form, which elevates the conversion rate against a weaker defensive line. The absence of defensive rotation in the backline suggests that Celje will struggle to organize a block capable of limiting Leverkusen's offensive output.

Betting Verdict

: The Over 2.5 market offers high security given Leverkusen’s recent form in competitive fixtures and their penchant for early leads. While the odds are conservative, the statistical likelihood of reaching the threshold exceeds 85%. This selection serves as a reliable anchor for accumulator bets, balancing low volatility with a strong probability of success.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
56
44
Exp. Goals
1.93
0.90
Total Shots
17
5
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Bayer Leverkusen

1Mark Flekken
17Lucas Vázquez
5Loic Badé
12Edmond Tapsoba
2Facundo Medina
8Robert Andrich
24Aleix García
11Martin Terrier
10Malik Tillman
19Moussa Diaby
14Patrik Schick

Substitutes

4Jarell Quansah
6Equi Fernández
9Afonso Moreira
35Christian Kofane
29Eliesse Ben Seghir
28Janis Blaswich
36Niklas Lomb
3Miguel Gutiérrez

NK Celje

1Žan-Luk Leban
2Pijus Širvys
44Łukasz Bejger
6Artemijus Tutyškinas
11Milot Avdyli
14Luka Tičić
19Mark Zabukovnik
91Yaya Dukuly
10Svit Sešlar
7Benjamin Verbič
47Armandas Kučys

Substitutes

9Blaž Kramer
77Matic Ivanšek
25Veton Tusha
13Papa Daniel
12Luka Kolar
23Žiga Frelih
20Alpha Diounkou
4Darko Hrka
33Leonárdo Koútris
8Mario Kvesić
31Dejan Suhovrsnik

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Bayer Leverkusen · 16 · 1.81 xGNK Celje · 6 · 0.93 xG
15' Svit Sešlar — Goal31' Benjamin Verbič — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG31' Benjamin Verbič — AttemptSaved, 0.29 xG42' Svit Sešlar — AttemptSaved, 0.35 xG57' Yaya Dukuly — Miss, 0.11 xG78' Blaž Kramer — AttemptSaved, 0.10 xG1' Moussa Diaby — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG9' Patrik Schick — Miss, 0.03 xG12' Martin Terrier — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG13' Lucas Vázquez — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG20' Aleix García — AttemptSaved, 0.27 xG25' Aleix García — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG33' Aleix García — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG34' Malik Tillman — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG35' Aleix García — Miss, 0.02 xG36' Patrik Schick — Miss, 0.05 xG40' Martin Terrier — AttemptSaved, 0.62 xG51' Facundo Medina — AttemptSaved, 0.35 xG73' Afonso Moreira — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG74' Facundo Medina — Goal, 0.08 xG79' Christian Kofane — Miss, 0.11 xG85' Christian Kofane — Miss, 0.05 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje Questions

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