Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT - UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1 - 1

Finished

Sweden

Oct 2, 2026, 6:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Over 1.5 at 1.22 (88% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Over 1.5
@1.22
Correct Score1-2
Probability88%
Value Edge: +3.8%
Market Role: Accumulator Foundation
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for high-intensity pressing which historically opens up defensive gaps in the midfield. Sweden’s tendency to utilize wide channels frequently creates defensive scrambles for Bosnia, ensuring multiple opportunities for goal-scoring transitions throughout the match. The tactical setup suggests a game flow characterized by end-to-end play rather than a stagnant defensive deadlock.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed inclusion of Sweden’s primary playmakers ensures that the offensive structure will remain aggressive and focused on penetrating the penalty area. Bosnia’s defensive pairing faces significant pressure to cope with aerial threats, which statistically elevates the probability of conceding early errors. With key attacking personnel starting, the offensive output is expected to be consistent regardless of any mid-game tactical shifts.

Betting Verdict

The Over 1.5 market remains the most stable entry point for this fixture given the current defensive volatility of both squads. While the odds are conservative, the statistical probability of at least two goals occurring is exceptionally high based on recent H2H trends and current form. We categorize this as a core selection for those looking to build reliable volume in their portfolio.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
50
50
Exp. Goals
0.11
1.05
Total Shots
4
8
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Bosnia and Herzegovina

12Salko Hamzić
15Amar Memić
18Nikola Katić
4Tarik Muharemović
5Sead Kolašinac
20Esmir Bajraktarević
13Ivan Bašić
8Armin Gigović
19Kerim Alajbegović
10Ermedin Demirović
11Edin Džeko

Substitutes

23Haris Tabaković
16Ermin Mahmić
9Jovo Lukić
6Zinedin Smajlović
14Ivan Šunjić
22Martin Zlomislić
1Mladen Jurkas
3Arjan Malić
2Nihad Mujakić
21Stjepan Radeljić
17Luka Djuric
7Nail Omerović

Sweden

12Viktor Johansson
14Hampus Skoglund
15Carl Starfelt
3Victor Nilsson Lindelöf
5Gabriel Gudmundsson
21Alexander Bernhardsson
20Hugo Larsson
16Jesper Karlström
19Sebastian Nanasi
22Besfort Zeneli
17Viktor Gyökeres

Substitutes

4Eric Smith
7Lucas Bergvall
11Williot Swedberg
13Ken Sema
23Melker Ellborg
1Noel Törnqvist
2Felix Beijmo
18Samuel Dahl
8Daniel Svensson
10Hugo Bolin
9Paulos Abraham

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Bosnia and Herzegovina · 4 · 0.11 xGSweden · 8 · 1.05 xG
5' Viktor Gyökeres — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG22' Viktor Gyökeres — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG28' Carl Starfelt — AttemptSaved, 0.33 xG42' Victor Nilsson Lindelöf — Miss, 0.38 xG61' Viktor Gyökeres — Goal, 0.16 xG64' Alexander Bernhardsson — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG65' Viktor Gyökeres — Miss, 0.03 xG65' Besfort Zeneli — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG11' Kerim Alajbegović — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG14' Esmir Bajraktarević — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG46' Ermedin Demirović — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG80' Kerim Alajbegović — Goal, 0.02 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden Questions

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