Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg Prediction & H2H Stats | Europe - UEFA Europa League, Knockout stage

Europe - UEFA Europa League, Knockout stage

Celta Vigo

Claudio Giráldez

VS

Scheduled

SC Freiburg

Julian Schuster

4/16/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Estadio Abanca Balaídos

EXPERT VERDICT: Celta Vigo VS SC Freiburg

Recommended Tip

Under 3.5
@1.36
Value Edge: +4.8%
Prob. Success: 70%
Market Role: Safe Core Pick

"The odds for Under 3.5 are relatively low, suggesting a high implied probability. While the H2H data is extremely limited (only 1 match), making a strong statistical prediction difficult, Under 3.5 goals is a common outcome, especially in knockout stages where teams might play more cautiously. The estimated probability is slightly higher than implied, giving a small positive value edge. The low odds and general nature of an Under 3.5 bet in a knockout match make it suitable as a combo stabilizer, despite the sparse H2H data limiting confidence to medium."

Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
56%
44%
Exp. Goals
1.60
1.06
Total Shots
15
9
Official Confirmed Starting Lineups

Celta Vigo

13Ionuț Radu
32Javi Rodríguez
29Yoel Lago
20Marcos Alonso
3Óscar Mingueza
15Matías Vecino
17Javier Rueda
8Fer López
6Ilaix Moriba
9Ferran Jutglà
7Borja Iglesias
5Sergio Carreira
19Williot Swedberg
10Iago Aspas
39Jones El-Abdellaoui
23Hugo Álvarez
1Iván Villar
4Joseph Aidoo
12Manu Fernández
14Alvaro Núñez
21Mihailo Ristić
22Hugo Sotelo
18Pablo Durán

SC Freiburg

1Noah Atubolu
29Philipp Treu
28Matthias Ginter
3Philipp Lienhart
33Jordy Makengo
8Maximilian Eggestein
44Johan Manzambi
19Jan-Niklas Beste
14Yuito Suzuki
32Vincenzo Grifo
31Igor Matanović
7Derry Scherhant
9Lucas Höler
43Bruno Ogbus
27Nicolas Höfler
22Cyriaque Irié
21Florian Müller
24Jannik Huth
5Anthony Jung
17Lukas Kübler
30Christian Günter
65Karl Steinmann
26Maximilian Philipp

Match Depth Analysis

This fixture between Celta Vigo and SC Freiburg is a critical encounter in the Europe - UEFA Europa League, Knockout stage. Our modeling has processed historical records and recent form to provide this prediction.

Historically, Celta Vigo shows strong home dominance. These insights are vital whether crafting a banker picks or selecting individual legs. Conversely, SC Freiburg relies on quick counter-attacks, a key factor for Over/Under value edges.

The current implied probability from odds is 73.5%, while our confidence stands at 70%, making it a strong candidate for professional bettors.

Match FAQ