Italy • Serie A
Como
0 - 0
Finished
Napoli
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Over 1.5
@1.36
Safe Core Pick
"This match features two high-ranking Serie A teams (Como 5th, Napoli 2nd) both showing good form and offensive capabilities. Over 1.5 goals is a very common threshold, and with strong attacking units on both sides, the likelihood of at least two goals being scored is very high. My estimated 85% probability offers a significant value edge over the implied 73.53%."
True Prob.
85%
Risk Class
Low
Value Edge
+15.6%
Placement
Single
Community Prediction
Match Result
Como to win41.2%
Draw18.1%
Napoli to win40.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes92.0%
No8.0%
First Team to Score
Como47.3%
Napoli49.7%
No Goal3.0%
Advanced Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29 - 0.55
Ball Possession
59% - 41%
Total Shots
16 - 6
Match Lineups
Como
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1Jean Butez
28Ivan Smolčić
14Jacobo Ramón
34Diego Carlos
3Álex Valle
23Máximo Perrone
33Lucas Da Cunha
38Assane Diao
10Nico Paz
20Martin Baturina
11Anastasios Douvikas
Substitutes
18Alberto Moreno
17Jesús Rodriguez
7Álvaro Morata
21Noel Törnqvist
44Nikola Čavlina
22Mauro Vigorito
2Marc Kempf
5Edoardo Goldaniga
77Ignace Van der Brempt
31Mërgim Vojvoda
8Sergi Roberto
15Adrian Lahdo
6Maxence Caqueret
19Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
Napoli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
32Vanja Milinković-Savić
31Sam Beukema
13Amir Rrahmani
4Alessandro Buongiorno
21Matteo Politano
68Stanislav Lobotka
8Scott McTominay
3Miguel Gutiérrez
11Kevin De Bruyne
27Alisson Santos
19Rasmus Højlund
Substitutes
99Frank Anguissa
37Leonardo Spinazzola
14Nikita Contini
1Alex Meret
22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
6Billy Gilmour
20Eljif Elmas
30Pasquale Mazzocchi
23Giovane