Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

ESP - LaLiga

Deportivo Alavés

0 - 1

Finished

Valencia

Sep 15, 2026, 6:00 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
DC 1/X at 1.22 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

DC 1/X
@1.22
Correct Score1-1
Probability82%
Value Edge: +3.8%
Market Role: Accumulator Anchor
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Deportivo Alavés maintain a formidable defensive structure when playing at the Mendizorrotza, frequently frustrating superior opposition through a disciplined low block. Their ability to transition quickly into wide areas exposes Valencia’s current defensive frailties on the flanks. The game is likely to follow a pattern of controlled possession for the visitors met by resilient counter-attacking bursts from the hosts.

Lineup Impact

The availability of Alavés’ key defensive midfielders provides the necessary shielding to prevent Valencia from controlling the central tempo. Valencia’s reliance on youthful creative outlets creates inconsistency in the final third, which struggles against teams that prioritize physical defensive positioning. The absence of critical attacking depth for the away side further reduces the likelihood of them breaking down a compact home defense.

Betting Verdict

Given the low probability of an away win in this tactical setup, the Double Chance market offers significant security for high-volume betting strategies. The market underprices Alavés’ ability to grind out a point against a struggling Valencia squad on the road. This selection serves as an ideal anchor for multi-leg tickets where risk mitigation is prioritized over chasing volatile high-margin outcomes.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
43
57
Exp. Goals
1.04
0.79
Total Shots
15
10
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Deportivo Alavés

1Antonio Sivera
14Nahuel Tenaglia
16Ville Koski
2Nicolás Valentini
7Ángel Pérez
19Pablo Ibánez
8Antonio Blanco
4Denis Suárez
21Abderrahman Rebbach
11Toni Martínez
15Lucas Boyé

Substitutes

3Youssef Enríquez
9Mariano Díaz
6Ander Guevara
10Carles Aleñá
22Miguel Rodríguez
13Adrián Rodriguez
23Carlos Protesoni
12Hugo Novoa
17Jonny Otto
27Xanet Oláiz
24Selu Diallo
29Izei Hernández

Valencia

1Stole Dimitrievski
24Pablo Maffeo
18Pepelu
12Justin De Haas
14José Gayà
33Aaron Mayol
2Guido Rodríguez
23Filip Ugrinic
8Javier Guerra
7Arnaut Danjuma
9Hugo Duro

Substitutes

11Luis Rioja
27David Otorbi
22Arnau Martínez
36Iker Córdoba
21Jesus Vázquez
25Kayne van Oevelen
29Alejandro Panach
15Aliou Dieng
10Harvey Elliott
39Ryunosuke Sato
37Aimar
19Dani Raba

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Deportivo Alavés · 15 · 1.05 xGValencia · 10 · 0.79 xG
6' Javier Guerra — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG16' Guido Rodríguez — Miss, 0.05 xG21' Pablo Maffeo — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG22' Hugo Duro — AttemptSaved, 0.11 xG23' Hugo Duro — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG52' Arnaut Danjuma — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG74' Javier Guerra — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG78' Luis Rioja — Goal, 0.36 xG84' David Otorbi — Miss, 0.06 xG87' Arnaut Danjuma — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG25' Lucas Boyé — Miss, 0.11 xG27' Pablo Ibánez — Miss, 0.05 xG33' Ángel Pérez — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG39' Toni Martínez — Miss, 0.07 xG40' Pablo Ibánez — Miss, 0.31 xG44' Toni Martínez — Miss, 0.01 xG45' Ángel Pérez — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG45' Ville Koski — AttemptSaved, 0.13 xG57' Toni Martínez — Miss, 0.11 xG60' Lucas Boyé — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG71' Abderrahman Rebbach — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG86' Pablo Ibánez — Miss, 0.03 xG90' Youssef Enríquez — Miss, 0.02 xG90' Lucas Boyé — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG90' Lucas Boyé — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia Questions

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