Both Lecce and Genoa are mid-to-lower table Serie A teams, often prioritizing defensive solidity. Their recent forms are mixed but rarely feature high-scoring outbursts. The H2H record shows a tendency for close, often drawn matches. Serie A generally has a lower goal average, making Under 3.5 a statistically robust prediction for such an encounter. The high estimated probability and positive value edge make it a strong candidate for a combo stabilizer.