Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction & H2H Stats | England - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds United

Daniel Farke

3 - 1

Finished

Burnley

Michael Jackson

5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Elland Road

EXPERT VERDICT: Leeds United VS Burnley

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.33
Value Edge: +7.7%
Prob. Success: 80%
Market Role: Safe Core Pick

"Leeds United (Rank 15) is in excellent current form (D-D-W-W-D), remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. In contrast, Burnley (Rank 19) is in very poor form (D-L-L-L-L), having lost four of their last five. The significant disparity in recent performance and league standing strongly supports a home win. While the head-to-head record (Home Wins: 4, Draws: 3, Away Wins: 3) is relatively balanced historically, the current conditions heavily favor Leeds. The estimated probability of 81% provides a positive value edge over the implied probability of 75.2%, justifying a high confidence and low-risk assessment for this selection as a core pick."

Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
48%
52%
Exp. Goals
1.65
0.53
Total Shots
18
9
Official Confirmed Starting Lineups

Leeds United

26Karl Darlow
6Joe Rodon
15Jaka Bijol
5Pascal Struijk
2Jayden Bogle
18Anton Stach
4Ethan Ampadu
22Ao Tanaka
24James Justin
9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
19Noah Okafor
14Lukas Nmecha
11Brenden Aaronson
8Sean Longstaff
7Daniel James
29Wilfried Gnonto
1Lucas Perri
25Sam Byram
23Sebastiaan Bornauw
10Joël Piroe

Burnley

1Martin Dúbravka
2Kyle Walker
18Hjalmar Ekdal
5Maxime Estève
12Bashir Humphreys
3Quilindschy Hartman
17Loum Tchaouna
29Josh Laurent
20James Ward-Prowse
11Jaidon Anthony
19Zian Flemming
28Hannibal Mejbri
23Lucas Pires
16Florentino Luís
25Zeki Amdouni
27Armando Broja
13Max Weiss
4Joe Worrall
8Lesley Ugochukwu
10Marcus Edwards

Match Depth Analysis

This fixture between Leeds United and Burnley is a critical encounter in the England - Premier League. Our modeling has processed historical records and recent form to provide this prediction.

Historically, Leeds United shows strong home dominance. These insights are vital whether crafting a football accumulator or selecting individual legs. Conversely, Burnley relies on quick counter-attacks, a key factor for BTTS value edges.

The current implied probability from odds is 75.2%, while our confidence stands at 80%, making it a strong candidate for professional bettors.

Match FAQ