Levski Sofia vs Salzburg Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT-2 - Europa League

Levski Sofia

0 - 1

Finished

Salzburg

Sep 17, 2026, 4:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Under 3.5 at 1.53 (78% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Under 3.5
@1.53
Correct Score1-1
Probability78%
Value Edge: +4.2%
Market Role: Value Anchor
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Levski Sofia prioritize a disciplined defensive structure when facing superior European opposition, often funneling play into wide areas to negate central penetration. Salzburg are expected to maintain high possession, but their rhythm is frequently disrupted by compact low-block setups in away fixtures. The game is likely to be characterized by tactical fouls and a slow build-up process, limiting clear-cut scoring opportunities for both sides.

Lineup Impact

Both teams are expected to field their standard defensive backlines, with the hosts likely deploying an extra holding midfielder to bolster their central integrity. Salzburg will rely on their high-pressing forwards, but recent fatigue in the squad suggests they may lack the clinical edge required to dismantle a set defense consistently. Missing key offensive playmakers from either side further supports the likelihood of a constrained attacking output throughout the ninety minutes.

Betting Verdict

The Under 3.5 market offers a stable entry point given the strong defensive tendencies observed in Levski Sofia’s home performances. While Salzburg’s pedigree implies potential for goals, the historical data suggests these encounters rarely result in high-scoring shootouts. This selection serves as a reliable hedge against defensive volatility while maintaining a positive expectation based on current tactical constraints.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
50
50
Exp. Goals
0.89
1.46
Total Shots
14
12
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Levski Sofia

92Svetoslav Vutsov
21Aldair
50Kristian Dimitrov
4Christian Makoun
3Maicon
35Sérginho
18Gašper Trdin
17Everton Bala
11Armstrong Oko-Flex
20Álex Centelles
7Reinaldo

Substitutes

27David Kusso
22Mazire Soula
9Juan Perea
10Asen Mitkov
28Stivan Stoyanchov
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
2Hevertton Santos
8Marko Grujić

Salzburg

52Christian Zawieschitzky
18Nikolas Veratschnig
44Kévin Boma
21Tim Drexler
31Dominik Schmid
32Abubakr Barry
15Bartosz Mazurek
20Edmund Baidoo
8Sota Kitano
11Yorbe Vertessen
9Haris Tabaković

Substitutes

23Damir Redzic
19Karim Konaté
13Frans Krätzig
1Christian Früchtl
41Nikola Šarčević
4John Mellberg
39Leandro Morgalla
22Stefan Lainer
35Jesper Lindstrøm
7Umut Tohumcu
33Aboubacar Camara
43Enrique Aguilar

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Levski Sofia · 12 · 0.58 xGSalzburg · 11 · 0.98 xG
22' Yorbe Vertessen — Miss, 0.06 xG23' Haris Tabaković — AttemptSaved, 0.26 xG37' Bartosz Mazurek — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG49' Sota Kitano — AttemptSaved, 0.18 xG49' Edmund Baidoo — AttemptSaved, 0.16 xG49' Nikolas Veratschnig — Miss, 0.03 xG52' Yorbe Vertessen — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG55' Nikolas Veratschnig — Miss, 0.03 xG80' Edmund Baidoo — AttemptSaved, 0.19 xG81' Dominik Schmid — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG87' Edmund Baidoo — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG19' Armstrong Oko-Flex — Miss, 0.03 xG33' Aldair — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG42' Álex Centelles — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG48' Álex Centelles — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG61' Everton Bala — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG67' Everton Bala — Miss, 0.16 xG67' David Kusso — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG67' David Kusso — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG68' Kristian Dimitrov — Miss, 0.03 xG70' Maicon — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG83' Sérginho — Miss, 0.02 xG90' Juan Perea — Miss, 0.07 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Levski Sofia vs Salzburg Questions

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