France • Ligue 1
Metz
1 - 2
Finished
AS Monaco
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Away Win
@1.38
Safe Core Pick
"Metz is battling relegation (Rank 18) and is in very poor form, while AS Monaco is a significantly stronger team (Rank 7) and has an overwhelmingly dominant head-to-head record against Metz, particularly away (8 away wins). Given these factors, Monaco winning is highly probable. The estimated 80% probability offers a strong value edge."
True Prob.
80%
Risk Class
Low
Value Edge
+10.4%
Placement
Single
Community Prediction
Match Result
Metz to win6.7%
Draw10.2%
AS Monaco to win83.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes73.5%
No26.5%
First Team to Score
Metz6.5%
AS Monaco91.5%
No Goal2.0%
Advanced Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03 - 1.05
Ball Possession
35% - 65%
Total Shots
13 - 15
Match Lineups
Metz
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
61Pape Sy
70Bouna Sarr
38Sadibou Sané
15Terry Yegbe
7Giorgi Tsitaishvili
21Benjamin Stambouli
5Jean-Philippe Gbamin
10Gauthier Hein
20Jessy Deminguet
34Nathan Mbala
11Giorgi Kvilitaia
Substitutes
33Believe Munongo
9Giorgi Abuashvili
35Jahyann Pandore
30Habibou Diallo
1Jonathan Fischer
4Urie-Michel Mboula
2Maxime Colin
3Moustapha Diop
29Ismaël Guerti
AS Monaco
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1Lukáš Hrádecký
6Denis Zakaria
5Thilo Kehrer
13Christian Mawissa
4Jordan Teze
15Lamine Camara
8Paul Pogba
24Simon Adingra
11Maghnes Akliouche
10Aleksandr Golovin
9Folarin Balogun
Substitutes
23Aladji Bamba
28Mamadou Coulibaly
31Ansu Fati
14Mika Biereth
12Caio Henrique
16Philipp Köhn
25Wout Faes
3Eric Dier
49Ilane Touré