EnglandPremier League

Newcastle United

3 - 1

Finished

Brighton & Hove Albion

Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Over 1.5
@1.21
Safe Core Pick

"Brighton's excellent offensive form (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5) and higher league position (6th) suggest they are very capable of scoring. Newcastle, despite poor form, is playing at home and can also contribute goals. Over 1.5 goals is a common occurrence in Premier League matches, especially with these teams' styles. The estimated 88% probability for at least two goals provides a good edge."

True Prob.

80%

Risk Class

Low

Value Edge

+6.5%

Placement

Single

Community Prediction

Match Result

Newcastle United to win42.7%
Draw17.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion to win40.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes91.7%
No8.3%

First Team to Score

Newcastle United53.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion43.6%
No Goal3.3%

Advanced Match Statistics

Expected Goals (xG)

3.25 - 1.64

Ball Possession

33% - 67%

Total Shots

13 - 13

Match Lineups

Newcastle United

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Starting XI
1Nick Pope
67Lewis Miley
12Malick Thiaw
4Sven Botman
33Dan Burn
39Bruno Guimarães
8Sandro Tonali
23Jacob Murphy
28Joe Willock
7Joelinton
18William Osula
Substitutes
3Lewis Hall
9Yoane Wissa
11Harvey Barnes
41Jacob Ramsey
32Aaron Ramsdale
2Kieran Trippier
10Anthony Gordon
20Anthony Elanga
27Nick Woltemade

Brighton & Hove Albion

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Starting XI
1Bart Verbruggen
27Mats Wieffer
6Jan Paul van Hecke
21Olivier Boscagli
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
30Pascal Groß
17Carlos Baleba
11Yankuba Minteh
13Jack Hinshelwood
22Kaoru Mitoma
18Danny Welbeck
Substitutes
34Joël Veltman
10Georginio Rutter
19Charalampos Kostoulas
29Maxim De Cuyper
5Lewis Dunk
23Jason Steele
3Igor Júlio
26Yasin Ayari
33Matt O'Riley

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