Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT - UEFA Nations League B Grp. 2

Northern Ireland

1 - 0

Finished

Ukraine

Nov 14, 2026, 7:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Under 3.5 at 1.24 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Under 3.5
@1.24
Correct Score1-0
Probability82%
Value Edge: +3.8%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

: Northern Ireland employs a deep-block defensive structure designed to frustrate possession-based opponents. They prioritize limiting central penetration, which frequently restricts the total goals in their matches to lower thresholds. Expect Ukraine to dominate the ball without necessarily translating that control into a high-scoring blowout scenario.

Lineup Impact

: The defensive stability of the Irish back-five remains the centerpiece of their strategy, limiting clear-cut opportunities for opposing strikers. While Ukraine possesses technical flair in the midfield, they lack a clinical secondary option if their primary forward is neutralized. Both teams are likely to rely on disciplined positioning, which further constricts the space available for attacking transitions.

Betting Verdict

: The market offering for Under 3.5 goals provides sufficient security given the conservative stylistic approach of both sides. Statistical trends indicate a high probability of a low-scoring outcome, making this a stable selection for a primary portfolio. Investors should view this as a low-variance play that aligns with historical H2H defensive tendencies.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
38
62
Exp. Goals
1.57
0.80
Total Shots
15
7
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Northern Ireland

1Pierce Charles
4Tom Atcheson
15Ruairi McConville
22Ciaron Brown
2Terry Devlin
3Justin Devenny
7Ethan Galbraith
5Trai Hume
19Shea Charles
14Isaac Price
10Jamie Donley

Substitutes

16Patrick Kelly
20Brodie Spencer
21Josh Magennis
12Conor Hazard
23Dermot Mee
18Michael Forbes
17Paddy McNair
6Jordan Thompson
11Paul Smyth
13Braiden Graham
8Callum Marshall
9Kieran Morrison

Ukraine

12Anatoliy Trubin
13Ilya Zabarnyi
3Eduard Sarapiy
22Mykola Matviyenko
16Vitaliy Mykolenko
7Oleksii Kashchuk
6Yehor Yarmoliuk
18Oleg Ocheretko
8Georgiy Sudakov
14Danylo Sikan
9Roman Yaremchuk

Substitutes

20Gennadiy Synchuk
21Igor Krasnopir
19Yegor Nazaryna
11Artem Dovbyk
23Dmytro Riznyk
1Georgiy Yermakov
2Borys Krushynskyi
5Illia Krupskyi
4Taras Mykhavko
15Ivan Varfolomeev
10Oleksandr Andrievsky
17Vladyslav Vanat

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Northern Ireland · 12 · 0.63 xGUkraine · 7 · 0.80 xG
8' Roman Yaremchuk — Miss, 0.06 xG28' Oleksii Kashchuk — AttemptSaved, 0.33 xG61' Danylo Sikan — AttemptSaved, 0.15 xG61' Oleksii Kashchuk — Miss, 0.05 xG61' Oleg Ocheretko — Miss, 0.02 xG84' Eduard Sarapiy — Miss, 0.02 xG90' Danylo Sikan — AttemptSaved, 0.18 xG23' Isaac Price — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG37' Ciaron Brown — Miss, 0.01 xG40' Isaac Price — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG40' Jamie Donley — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG41' Isaac Price — Miss, 0.07 xG45' Trai Hume — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG54' Isaac Price — AttemptSaved, 0.08 xG56' Terry Devlin — Miss, 0.06 xG64' Ruairi McConville — Miss, 0.07 xG65' Ethan Galbraith — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG67' Trai Hume — Miss, 0.02 xG68' Terry Devlin — Goal, 0.04 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Questions

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