EuropeUEFA Europa League, Knockout stage

Nottingham Forest

Vitor Pereira

1 - 0

Finished

Aston Villa

Unai Emery

Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Joao Pedro Pinheiro
City Ground
Interactive Prediction

Who will score first tonight?

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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Over 1.5
@1.33
Safe Core Pick

"The prediction for 'Over 1.5 goals' is generally a common outcome in football. The selected odds imply a probability of 75.2%. However, the statistical data provided for this match is very limited, offering only head-to-head win/draw distribution and manager names without specific goal statistics, recent form, or ranking. Therefore, the estimated real probability of 77% for at least two goals relies on a conservative assessment of general football match dynamics rather than specific team-form indicators. This results in a small positive value edge of +2.4%. Due to the significant lack of detailed statistical evidence to strongly support a higher probability, a lower confidence score of 55% has been assigned. Despite the confidence being tempered by data scarcity, 'Over 1.5' is typically a relatively low-risk market, justifying a 'Low' risk level and a 'Safe Core Pick' role for a single ticket."

True Prob.

76%

Risk Class

Low

Value Edge

+2.4%

Placement

Single

Head-to-Head History

2

Nottingham Forest Wins

3

Draws

5

Aston Villa Wins

Community Prediction

Match Result

Nottingham Forest to win26.9%
Draw15.5%
Aston Villa to win57.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes89.6%
No10.4%

First Team to Score

Nottingham Forest29.2%
Aston Villa67.3%
No Goal3.5%
MATCH SPECIAL
Bonus Found

Bet on:Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

Code: predictsfootball

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Advanced Match Statistics

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62 - 0.65

Ball Possession

55% - 45%

Total Shots

8 - 7

Match Lineups

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 4-4-2

Starting XI
27Stefan Ortega
34Ola Aina
31Nikola Milenković
4Morato
3Neco Williams
21Omari Hutchinson
16Nicolás Domínguez
8Elliot Anderson
10Morgan Gibbs-White
19Igor Jesus
11Chris Wood
Substitutes
26Matz Sels
67Keehan Willows
44Zach Abbott
65Justin Hanks
22Ryan Yates
24James McAtee
29Dilane Bakwa
51Archie Whitehall
61Jimmy Sinclair
20Lorenzo Lucca
77Zyan Blake

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Starting XI
23Emiliano Martínez
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
14Pau Torres
12Lucas Digne
24Amadou Onana
8Youri Tielemans
7John McGinn
27Morgan Rogers
10Emiliano Buendía
11Ollie Watkins
Substitutes
26Lamare Bogarde
40Marco Bizot
64James Wright
3Victor Lindelöf
5Tyrone Mings
16Andrés García
22Ian Maatsen
9Harvey Elliott
19Jadon Sancho
21Douglas Luiz
31Leon Bailey
18Tammy Abraham