Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT-2 - Europa League

Olympiacos

2 - 1

Finished

Jagiellonia Białystok

Sep 16, 2026, 7:00 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Under 3.5 at 1.45 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Under 3.5
@1.45
Correct Score2-0
Probability82%
Value Edge: +4.8%
Market Role: Value Anchor
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Olympiacos maintains a disciplined defensive structure when playing at home in European competition. Jagiellonia Białystok typically adopts a conservative approach against higher-seeded teams, often prioritizing a compact mid-block. This setup significantly reduces the likelihood of an end-to-end game that would inflate the goal total.

Lineup Impact

The return of key defensive anchors for Olympiacos bolsters their organization, limiting opponent penetration in the final third. Jagiellonia faces potential fatigue issues, likely leading to more methodical, slower ball movement. These personnel factors suggest a controlled pace throughout the match, discouraging high-risk attacking transitions.

Betting Verdict

Given the tactical rigidity of both managers, the probability of exceeding three goals is statistically limited. The current odds offer a fair value margin for a risk-averse selection targeting a controlled game script. This play serves as a reliable anchor for larger accumulators where stability is prioritized over explosive variance.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
58
42
Exp. Goals
2.60
0.52
Total Shots
26
4
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Olympiacos

1Stefan Ortega
2Manolis Saliakas
45Panagiotis Retsos
5Lorenzo Pirola
70Bruno Onyemaechi
32Santiago Hezze
19Remo Freuler
20Jota Silva
22Chiquinho
10Gelson Martins
34Armando González

Substitutes

71Nair Tiknizyan
11Roman Yaremchuk
15Gustavo Puerta
17Leon Bailey
27Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
91Dimitrios Stournaras
61Georgios Kouraklis
6David Carmo
4Zinedin Smajlović
77Christos Filis
21Theofanis Bakoulas

Jagiellonia Białystok

50Sławomir Abramowicz
15Norbert Wojtuszek
5Bernardo Vital
44Apostolos Konstantopoulos
23Guilherme Montóia
11Jesús Imaz
6Taras Romanczuk
19Anders Klynge
27Rodrigo Conceição
99Nik Prelec
7Kajetan Szmyt

Substitutes

85Eryk Kozłowski
14Hampus Finndell
17Youssuf Sylla
21Sergio Lozano
10Jeremy Agbonifo
67Jakub Rabiczko
1Michał Perchel
61Bartłomiej Krasiewicz
20Bartłomiej Wdowik
3Dušan Stojinović
32Aleksandar Ćirković
72Kamil Józwiak

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Olympiacos · 23 · 1.74 xGJagiellonia Białystok · 4 · 0.52 xG
19' Nik Prelec — Post, 0.12 xG19' Rodrigo Conceição — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG20' Kajetan Szmyt — Goal, 0.28 xG39' Taras Romanczuk — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG7' Armando González — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG14' Jota Silva — Miss, 0.13 xG16' Manolis Saliakas — Miss, 0.11 xG31' Panagiotis Retsos — Miss, 0.03 xG32' Chiquinho — Miss, 0.08 xG35' Gelson Martins — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG42' Armando González — AttemptSaved, 0.14 xG43' Jota Silva — Miss, 0.09 xG54' Armando González — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG59' Jota Silva — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG60' Nair Tiknizyan — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG63' Santiago Hezze — Miss, 0.02 xG71' Remo Freuler — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG72' Manolis Saliakas — Miss, 0.01 xG72' Remo Freuler — Miss, 0.04 xG73' Chiquinho — Miss, 0.10 xG81' Lorenzo Pirola — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG81' Jota Silva — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG83' Gelson Martins — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG84' Roman Yaremchuk — Goal, 0.12 xG88' Jota Silva — AttemptSaved, 0.14 xG90' Panagiotis Retsos — Post, 0.13 xG90' Roman Yaremchuk — Miss, 0.17 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok Questions

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