France • Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille
1 - 1
Finished
Nice
Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 6:45 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Home Win
@1.51
Value Enhancement Pick
"Marseille (6th) has a clear advantage playing at home against a struggling Nice side (15th). Nice's recent form is poor with only one win in their last five, contrasted with Marseille's mixed but generally stronger performance. The home advantage and significant rank difference suggest a higher probability for a home win than the implied odds, creating a substantial value edge."
True Prob.
78%
Risk Class
Low
Value Edge
+8.8%
Placement
Single
Community Prediction
Match Result
Olympique de Marseille to win83.0%
Draw10.7%
Nice to win6.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes77.8%
No22.2%
First Team to Score
Olympique de Marseille90.3%
Nice7.4%
No Goal2.4%
Advanced Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32 - 1.46
Ball Possession
68% - 32%
Total Shots
24 - 5
Match Lineups
Olympique de Marseille
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1Geronimo Rulli
28Benjamin Pavard
5Leonardo Balerdi
32Facundo Medina
22Timothy Weah
6Tochukwu Nnadi
23Pierre Emile Hojbjerg
18Arthur Vermeeren
33Emerson
27Quinten Timber
17Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Substitutes
76Tadjidine Mmadi
10Mason Greenwood
71Nouhoum Kamissoko
8Himad Abdelli
12Jeffrey de Lange
72Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani
11Ethan Nwaneri
70Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri
78Ange Lago
Nice
Formation: 5-4-1
Starting XI
80Yehvann Diouf
92Jonathan Clauss
33Antoine Mendy
28Abdulay Juma Bah
37Kojo Peprah Oppong
26Melvin Bard
25Mohamed-Ali Cho
6Hicham Boudaoui
99Salis Abdul Samed
8Morgan Sanson
11Elye Wahi
Substitutes
10Sofiane Diop
32Kaïl Boudache
2Ali Abdi
90Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
24Charles Vanhoutte
31Maxime Dupé
4Dante
39Djibril Coulibaly
20Tom Louchet