France • Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain
2 - 2
Finished
Lorient
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM
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Expert Analysis
Our Selection
Home Win
@1.36
Safe Core Pick
"PSG, the undisputed league leader, is in dominant form, especially at home, against a struggling Lorient side ranked much lower. Lorient's away form is poor, contrasting sharply with PSG's strong performance. The H2H record further reinforces PSG's superiority. The estimated real probability of 82% offers a clear value edge over the implied probability, making this a highly probable and confident selection to anchor a combo ticket."
True Prob.
82%
Risk Class
Low
Value Edge
+11.6%
Placement
Single
Community Prediction
Match Result
Paris Saint-Germain to win86.7%
Draw8.0%
Lorient to win5.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes66.7%
No33.3%
First Team to Score
Paris Saint-Germain93.3%
Lorient5.1%
No Goal1.6%
Advanced Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16 - 0.39
Ball Possession
66% - 34%
Total Shots
15 - 3
Match Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Starting XI
89Renato Marin
24Senny Mayulu
4Lucas Beraldo
51Willian Pacho
21Lucas Hernández
19Kang-in Lee
8Fabián Ruiz
27Dro Fernández
49Ibrahim Mbaye
14Désiré Doué
29Bradley Barcola
Substitutes
33Warren Zaïre-Emery
87João Neves
80Bilal Laurendon
5Marquinhos
55Samba Coulibaly
53Thomas Cordier
7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
57Pierre Mounguengue
10Ousmane Dembélé
Lorient
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
38Yvon Mvogo
32Nathaniel Adjei
3Montassar Talbi
25Abdoulaye Faye
77Panos Katseris
6Laurent Abergel
8Noah Cadiou
43Arsène Kouassi
62Arthur Avom Ebong
10Pablo Pagis
12Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
Substitutes
15Aiyegun Tosin
29Karim Dermane
17Jean Victor Makengo
21Bingourou Kamara
44Darlin Yongwa
2Igor Silva
95Souleymane Isaak Touré
9Mohamed Bamba
28Sambou Soumano