RB Leipzig vs Augsburg Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

GER - Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

5 - 2

Finished

Augsburg

Nov 7, 2026, 2:30 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Home Win at 1.45 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.45
Correct Score3-1
Probability82%
Value Edge: +3.2%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

: RB Leipzig maintains a formidable home record at the Red Bull Arena, consistently utilizing a high-pressing system that disrupts visiting teams' defensive structures. Augsburg tends to struggle with quick transitions, which plays directly into Leipzig's primary offensive strength of rapid counter-attacks. With the home side dominating possession and field tilt, the tactical setup heavily favors a decisive victory for the hosts.

Lineup Impact

: The return of Leipzig's primary creative midfielders has significantly bolstered their chances of unlocking compact defensive lines. Augsburg is dealing with critical absences in their defensive unit, leaving them vulnerable to individual errors under sustained pressure. Leipzig's depth allows them to maintain intensity throughout the full ninety minutes, unlike the visitors who often tire late in matches.

Betting Verdict

: The provided odds of 1.45 represent a solid value play given the clear disparity in quality and current momentum between these two sides. The statistical probability of an Augsburg upset is minimal, making this a reliable cornerstone for any accumulation strategy. Given the efficiency of Leipzig's attack, backing the home win offers the most stable risk-to-reward profile for this fixture.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
65
35
Exp. Goals
1.64
1.88
Total Shots
17
13
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

RB Leipzig

26Maarten Vandevoordt
17Ridle Baku
4Willi Orbán
23Castello Lukeba
22David Raum
10Brajan Gruda
21Neil El Aynaoui
6Ezechiel Banzuzi
28Christopher Nkunku
40Rômulo
27Tidiam Gomis

Substitutes

39Benjamin Henrichs
14Christoph Baumgartner
7Antonio Nusa
2Abdoul Koné
3Maxime Estève
1Ørjan Håskjold Nyland
30Andrija Maksimović
13Nicolas Seiwald
20Rocco Reitz

Augsburg

1Finn Dahmen
14Yannik Keitel
6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
5Chrislain Matsima
19Robin Fellhauer
4Han-Noah Massengo
32Fabian Rieder
16Hennes Behrens
30Anton Kade
21Arijon Ibrahimović
9Rodrigo Ribeiro

Substitutes

20Alexis Claude-Maurice
37Tim Schnitzer
39Uchenna Ogundu
10Mert Kömür
22Nediljko Labrović
7Young-Woo Seol
38Loris Husic
27Marius Wolf
11Michael Gregoritsch

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

RB Leipzig · 16 · 1.19 xGAugsburg · 13 · 2.09 xG
1' Arijon Ibrahimović — AttemptSaved, 0.37 xG1' Anton Kade — Goal, 0.56 xG18' Rodrigo Ribeiro — Miss, 0.12 xG28' Arijon Ibrahimović — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG50' Anton Kade — AttemptSaved, 0.13 xG50' Anton Kade — Miss, 0.13 xG52' Rodrigo Ribeiro — Miss, 0.03 xG57' Anton Kade — Miss, 0.07 xG68' Anton Kade — AttemptSaved, 0.17 xG69' Anton Kade — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG78' Uchenna Ogundu — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG90' Chrislain Matsima — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG90' Uchenna Ogundu — Goal, 0.40 xG5' Ridle Baku — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG6' Tidiam Gomis — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG12' Christopher Nkunku — Miss, 0.05 xG15' Willi Orbán — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG19' David Raum — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG29' Tidiam Gomis — Miss, 0.05 xG33' Ezechiel Banzuzi — Goal, 0.05 xG35' Christopher Nkunku — Goal, 0.30 xG42' Ridle Baku — Miss, 0.07 xG45' David Raum — Goal, 0.14 xG45' Tidiam Gomis — Miss, 0.08 xG46' Christopher Nkunku — Miss, 0.02 xG60' Ridle Baku — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG66' Christoph Baumgartner — Goal, 0.08 xG71' Antonio Nusa — AttemptSaved, 0.13 xG75' Benjamin Henrichs — Miss, 0.03 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg Questions

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