Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & H2H Stats | Spain - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid

Álvaro Arbeloa

2 - 1

Finished

Deportivo Alavés

Quique SĂĄnchez Flores

4/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Bernabéu

EXPERT VERDICT: Real Madrid VS Deportivo Alavés

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.30
Value Edge: +14.4%
Prob. Success: 85%
Market Role: Safe Core Pick

"Real Madrid, ranked 2nd, playing at home against 17th-ranked Deportivo Alavés presents a clear mismatch. Real Madrid's strong form (WWWLD) contrasts with Alavés's struggling form (LDWDD). Historically, Real Madrid has been overwhelmingly dominant in H2H matches with 9 home wins, 0 draws, and only 1 away win. The estimated real probability of 88% significantly exceeds the implied probability of 76.9% from the 1.3 odds, indicating a strong value edge of +14.4%. This pick carries low risk due to the statistical dominance and is a strong candidate for value enhancement."

Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
61%
39%
Exp. Goals
1.62
1.76
Total Shots
24
19
Official Confirmed Starting Lineups

Real Madrid

13Andriy Lunin
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
3Éder Militão
24Dean Huijsen
18Álvaro Carreras
8Federico Valverde
5Jude Bellingham
14Aurélien Tchouaméni
15Arda GĂŒler
10Kylian Mbappé
7Vinicius JĂșnior
22Antonio Rudiger
21Brahim DĂ­az
30Franco Mastantuono
2Dani Carvajal
6Eduardo Camavinga
43Sergio Mestre
23Ferland Mendy
20Fran GarcĂ­a
4David Alaba
19Dani Ceballos
45Thiago Pitarch
16Gonzalo GarcĂ­a

Deportivo Alavés

1Antonio Sivera
7Ángel Pérez
17Jonny Otto
14Nahuel Tenaglia
24Victor Parada
3Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
18Jon Guridi
8Antonio Blanco
4Denis Suarez
11Toni MartĂ­nez
15Lucas Boyé
10Carles Aleñå
19Pablo Ibåñez
20Calebe Gonçalves
22Ibrahim Diabaté
6Ander Guevara
31Grégoire Swiderski
13RaĂșl FernĂĄndez
16Ville Koski
5Jon Pacheco
27Egoitz Muñoz
34Aitor Mañas
9Mariano Diaz

Match Depth Analysis

This fixture between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés is a critical encounter in the Spain - LaLiga. Our modeling has processed historical records and recent form to provide this prediction.

Historically, Real Madrid shows strong home dominance. These insights are vital whether crafting a banker picks or selecting individual legs. Conversely, Deportivo Alavés relies on quick counter-attacks, a key factor for Over/Under value edges.

The current implied probability from odds is 76.9%, while our confidence stands at 85%, making it a strong candidate for professional bettors.

Match FAQ