Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

ITA - Serie A

Roma

3 - 0

Finished

Sassuolo

Nov 7, 2026, 7:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Home Win at 1.31 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.31
Correct Score2-0
Probability82%
Value Edge: +2.8%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Roma displays a dominant tactical setup at the Stadio Olimpico, prioritizing ball retention and aggressive high-pressing against lower-table opposition. They are expected to exploit Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities in transition, particularly through the half-spaces where the visitors struggle to track runners. Controlling the tempo early will likely force Sassuolo to abandon their defensive structure, opening gaps for the home side to exploit effectively.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed availability of key creative midfielders ensures that Roma will maintain structural integrity and link-up play throughout the ninety minutes. Sassuolo's current injury list severely limits their depth in the defensive third, forcing them to rely on less experienced personnel against Roma's potent attack. This disparity in individual quality across the spine of the pitch significantly favors the hosts in terms of both physical and technical output.

Betting Verdict

Despite the short price, the high probability of a straightforward home victory makes this an ideal foundation for a value-oriented accumulator. The statistical data suggests that Sassuolo's away defensive record is among the worst in the league, further cementing the case for a home win. Conservative bankroll management dictates that this position should be viewed as a high-confidence anchor for daily portfolios.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
65
35
Exp. Goals
3.39
0.24
Total Shots
28
6
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Roma

32Devis Vásquez
26Leonardo Balerdi
5Evan N'Dicka
22Mario Hermoso
20Nahuel Molina
4Bryan Cristante
17Manu Koné
43Wesley
18Matias Soulé
86Rodrigo Mora
14Donyell Malen

Substitutes

15Marten de Roon
61Niccolò Pisilli
3Konstantinos Koulierakis
9Santiago Castro
87Daniele Ghilardi
70Giorgio De Marzi
12Levente Kilvinger
77Emanuele Lulli
64Valerio Maccaroni
68Antonio Arena

Sassuolo

49Arijanet Murić
6Sebastian Walukiewicz
15Duje Ćaleta-Car
21Jay Idzes
46Simone Cinquegrano
55Ibrahim Sulemana
18Nemanja Matić
42Kristian Thorstvedt
3Josh Doig
94Sebastiano Esposito
45Armand Laurienté

Substitutes

20Ignace Van Der Brempt
9Kieron Bowie
35Luca Lipani
17Vasilije Adžić
5Fali Candé
12Giacomo Satalino
80Stefano Turati
26Cas Odenthal
70Edoardo Pieragnolo
8Andrea Ghion
50Darryl Bakola
33Rafael Obrador
25Benja Domínguez
19Laurs Skjellerup
77Nicholas Pierini

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Roma · 25 · 2.16 xGSassuolo · 7 · 0.24 xG
3' Nemanja Matić — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG4' Sebastian Walukiewicz — AttemptSaved, 0.08 xG4' Jay Idzes — Miss, 0.06 xG30' Sebastian Walukiewicz — Goal42' Jay Idzes — Miss, 0.06 xG62' Ibrahim Sulemana — Miss, 0.01 xG82' Kieron Bowie — Miss, 0.01 xG7' Manu Koné — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG12' Leonardo Balerdi — Miss, 0.02 xG17' Rodrigo Mora — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG18' Bryan Cristante — Miss, 0.03 xG18' Bryan Cristante — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG25' Rodrigo Mora — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG27' Mario Hermoso — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG27' Mario Hermoso — Goal, 0.08 xG30' Donyell Malen — Miss, 0.08 xG35' Matias Soulé — Miss, 0.02 xG36' Leonardo Balerdi — AttemptSaved, 0.10 xG40' Matias Soulé — AttemptSaved, 0.08 xG44' Bryan Cristante — Miss, 0.04 xG49' Donyell Malen — Miss, 0.04 xG54' Manu Koné — AttemptSaved, 0.27 xG54' Rodrigo Mora — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG55' Donyell Malen — AttemptSaved, 0.15 xG58' Rodrigo Mora — Goal, 0.12 xG68' Nahuel Molina — Miss, 0.16 xG71' Donyell Malen — AttemptSaved, 0.23 xG78' Niccolò Pisilli — AttemptSaved, 0.11 xG79' Bryan Cristante — Miss, 0.07 xG79' Leonardo Balerdi — Miss, 0.04 xG86' Bryan Cristante — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG88' Niccolò Pisilli — AttemptSaved, 0.23 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Roma vs Sassuolo Questions

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