Romania vs Poland Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT - UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4

Romania

2 - 1

Finished

Poland

Nov 14, 2026, 7:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Over 1.5 at 1.27 (82% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Over 1.5
@1.27
Correct Score1-1
Probability82%
Value Edge: +4.2%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Both Romania and Poland emphasize high-transition phases of play, prioritizing vertical progression over prolonged possession. This approach naturally leads to end-to-end exchanges as both sides look to exploit space left by fullbacks pushing high into the attacking third. Given the competitive nature of this fixture, defensive errors are highly likely as teams press high to force turnovers in dangerous areas.

Lineup Impact

Romania enters with a revitalized attacking unit that has shown consistent output in recent competitive cycles. Poland retains elite clinical finishers who require only minimal service to find the target, ensuring that even restricted possession can yield high-quality chances. The availability of key defensive anchors remains questionable, suggesting a vulnerability to rapid counter-attacking patterns throughout the ninety minutes.

Betting Verdict

The Over 1.5 market represents a high-probability outcome supported by the tactical requirements of both managers. While the odds are conservative, the statistical likelihood of multiple goals occurring remains robust due to the inherent defensive weaknesses of both nations. We classify this as a core strategic play for consistent yield management.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
44
56
Exp. Goals
0.84
1.57
Total Shots
11
15
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Romania

12Ottó Hindrich
2Andrei Rațiu
3Radu Drăgușin
4Andrei Coubiș
15Lisav Naif Eissat
8Alexandru Cicâldau
6Tudor Băluță
22Vlad Dragomir
10Ianis Hagi
7Florinel Coman
20Dennis Man

Substitutes

19Márius Corbu
9Daniel Bîrligea
14Ianis Stoica
13Matei Cristian Ilie
21Olimpiu Moruțan
16Laurențiu Popescu
1Ștefan Târnovanu
23Tony Strata
5Virgil Ghiță
17Vladimir Screciu
18Cătălin Cîrjan
11Nicușor Bancu

Poland

1Bartłomiej Drągowski
2Matty Cash
23Kacper Potulski
14Jakub Kiwior
5Oskar Kubiak
18Marcel Reguła
16Wiktor Nowak
20Sebastian Szymański
21Nicola Zalewski
9Robert Lewandowski
11Karol Świderski

Substitutes

6Bartosz Mazurek
7Adrian Benedyczak
10Arkadiusz Pyrka
17Michał Skóras
13Mateusz Żukowski
12Mateusz Kochalski
22Sławomir Abramowicz
3Kamil Piątkowski
4Tomasz Kędziora
15Tymoteusz Puchacz
8Kacper Urbański
19Łukasz Poręba

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Romania · 11 · 0.84 xGPoland · 14 · 0.90 xG
3' Matty Cash — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG10' Nicola Zalewski — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG10' Matty Cash — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG29' Wiktor Nowak — Miss, 0.08 xG36' Sebastian Szymański — Miss, 0.03 xG38' Robert Lewandowski — Miss, 0.15 xG54' Jakub Kiwior — Miss, 0.06 xG58' Wiktor Nowak — Miss, 0.11 xG62' Robert Lewandowski — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG63' Matty Cash — Miss, 0.03 xG79' Adrian Benedyczak — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG80' Adrian Benedyczak — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG85' Adrian Benedyczak — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG90' Mateusz Żukowski — AttemptSaved, 0.16 xG20' Ianis Hagi — Miss, 0.01 xG22' Alexandru Cicâldau — Miss, 0.04 xG25' Radu Drăgușin — Miss, 0.05 xG33' Tudor Băluță — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG45' Tudor Băluță — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG45' Andrei Rațiu — Miss, 0.03 xG50' Vlad Dragomir — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG52' Florinel Coman — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG68' Alexandru Cicâldau — Goal, 0.04 xG72' Dennis Man — Goal, 0.31 xG73' Ianis Stoica — Miss, 0.23 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Romania vs Poland Questions

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