Despite Saint-Étienne's higher rank, both teams are in poor recent form (Home: D-W-L-L-L, Away: D-L-L-L-L). Ligue 2 typically features lower-scoring matches, making Over 2.5 at 1.33 odds seem optimistic, especially considering the recent struggles of both offenses. Amiens (Rank 18) will likely adopt a defensive strategy against a higher-ranked opponent. My estimated probability of 65% suggests that the selected odds offer negative value, indicating this is a riskier pick than implied for a combo stabilizer.