Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT-2 - Europa League

Sunderland

1 - 0

Finished

AZ Alkmaar

Sep 16, 2026, 7:00 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Home Win at 1.59 (72% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Home Win
@1.59
Correct Score2-0
Probability72%
Value Edge: +4.2%
Market Role: Core Selection
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Sunderland enters this fixture with a high-intensity pressing structure that should overwhelm AZ Alkmaar during transitional phases. The home side's proficiency in exploiting wide areas will likely disrupt the visitors' defensive shape, forcing them into deep defensive blocks. Expect Sunderland to dominate possession in the final third while maintaining a compact defensive transition to negate AZ's counter-attacking threats.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed inclusion of key playmakers in the starting XI significantly boosts the fluidity of Sunderland’s attacking transitions. The lack of depth on the AZ bench for this specific tactical setup provides a late-game advantage for the home side as fresh legs apply pressure. With the core midfield unit healthy and disciplined, the structural integrity of the home team remains superior throughout the ninety minutes.

Betting Verdict

Given the tactical mismatch and the favorable home atmosphere, the 1.59 odds offer a solid value proposition for a direct win. The statistical indicators regarding home-field dominance align with the projected game flow, making this a high-confidence play. Stake management is recommended given the pre-season nature of the match, but the objective data clearly favors a Sunderland victory.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
45
55
Exp. Goals
2.90
1.49
Total Shots
20
11
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Sunderland

22Robin Roefs
20Nordi Mukiele
4Kevin Danso
15Omar Alderete
17Reinildo
34Granit Xhaka
27Noah Sadiki
32Trai Hume
28Enzo Le Fée
39Malick Fofana
18Wilson Isidor

Substitutes

5Daniel Ballard
12Thomas Meunier
9Brian Brobbey
10Nilson Angulo
11Chris Rigg
21Simon Moore
48Jenson Jones
13Luke O'Nien
6Dayann Méthalie
29Jules Ahoka
77Tom Proctor
57Timur Tuterov

AZ Alkmaar

28Jari De Busser
22Elijah Dijkstra
3Wouter Goes
4Lewis Schouten
5Mateo Chávez
8Jordy Clasie
6Peer Koopmeiners
24Ayoub Oufkir
10Kees Smit
11Ro-Zangelo Daal
9Mexx Meerdink

Substitutes

7Weslley Pinto
17Valdemar Byskov
21Dave Kwakman
14Calvin Stengs
19Jizz Hornkamp
1Rome Owusu-Oduro
34Mees de Wit
31Rion Ichihara
2Seiya Maikuma
29Wesley Hoedt
18Bendegúz Kovács

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Sunderland · 16 · 2.19 xGAZ Alkmaar · 11 · 1.49 xG
7' Ro-Zangelo Daal — AttemptSaved, 0.14 xG9' Mexx Meerdink — Miss, 0.12 xG46' Weslley Pinto — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG50' Kees Smit — Miss, 0.25 xG57' Mexx Meerdink — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG70' Valdemar Byskov — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG75' Ro-Zangelo Daal — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG81' Valdemar Byskov — AttemptSaved, 0.11 xG81' Valdemar Byskov — AttemptSaved, 0.22 xG81' Mexx Meerdink — AttemptSaved, 0.14 xG86' Weslley Pinto — Miss, 0.31 xG12' Kevin Danso — AttemptSaved, 0.07 xG13' Enzo Le Fée — AttemptSaved, 0.08 xG13' Trai Hume — Miss, 0.15 xG14' Kevin Danso — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG25' Enzo Le Fée — Post, 0.16 xG26' Granit Xhaka — Miss, 0.01 xG31' Trai Hume — Miss, 0.03 xG36' Nordi Mukiele — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG44' Granit Xhaka — Miss, 0.01 xG45' Enzo Le Fée — Miss, 0.02 xG51' Wilson Isidor — Miss, 0.06 xG52' Trai Hume — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG52' Nordi Mukiele — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG53' Trai Hume — Miss, 0.06 xG66' Enzo Le Fée — Goal, 0.79 xG90' Nilson Angulo — AttemptSaved, 0.59 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar Questions

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