Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT - UEFA Nations League B Grp. 4

Sweden

3 - 2

Finished

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Nov 14, 2026, 7:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
Over 1.5 at 1.27 (88% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

Over 1.5
@1.27
Correct Score2-1
Probability88%
Value Edge: +4.2%
Market Role: Banker
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Sweden historically maintains an aggressive home presence, prioritizing high-tempo transitions against organized defensive blocks. Bosnia and Herzegovina often struggle to maintain structural integrity in away environments, frequently conceding early space to wing-oriented attacks. Expect a high-shot count match as both sides look to exploit lateral passing lanes in the final third.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed inclusion of Sweden’s creative midfield core significantly enhances the probability of sustained offensive pressure. Bosnia’s defensive rotation has shown fatigue in recent fixtures, suggesting vulnerabilities in central marking that high-caliber strikers will likely exploit. The tactical setup for both managers points toward an open game rather than a cagey deadlock.

Betting Verdict

Given the historical output of these nations, the Over 1.5 market offers a reliable statistical floor for a low-risk bankroll strategy. The current line is heavily supported by both teams' tendency to rotate squads, which often leads to defensive lapses. We consider this a high-probability outcome that aligns perfectly with a conservative growth portfolio.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
42
58
Exp. Goals
2.28
1.14
Total Shots
13
16
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Sweden

12Viktor Johansson
8Daniel Svensson
2Gustaf Lagerbielke
3Victor Nilsson Lindelöf
5Gabriel Gudmundsson
11Anthony Elanga
20Hugo Larsson
18Yasin Ayari
19Sebastian Nanasi
17Viktor Gyökeres
9Alexander Isak

Substitutes

21Dejan Kulusevski
10Benjamin Nygren
7Elliot Stroud
16Jesper Karlström
6Felix Beijmo
1Jacob Widell Zetterström
23Noel Törnqvist
4Eric Smith
15Genesis Antwi
14Hjalmar Ekdal
13Alexander Bernhardsson
22Alieu Njie

Bosnia and Herzegovina

22Martin Zlomislić
7Amar Dedić
18Nikola Katić
21Stjepan Radeljić
5Sead Kolašinac
11Esmir Bajraktarević
13Ivan Bašić
8Armin Gigović
19Kerim Alajbegović
10Ermedin Demirović
23Haris Tabaković

Substitutes

16Ermin Mahmić
3Arjan Malić
15Amar Memić
6Benjamin Tahirović
1Mladen Jurkas
12Salko Hamzić
2Nihad Mujakić
4Zinedin Smajlović
17Dženis Burnić
14Ivan Šunjić
20Matej Deket
9Samed Baždar

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Sweden · 12 · 2.18 xGBosnia and Herzegovina · 13 · 0.71 xG
15' Amar Dedić — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG15' Haris Tabaković — Miss, 0.21 xG38' Kerim Alajbegović — Miss, 0.03 xG42' Armin Gigović — Miss, 0.08 xG44' Amar Dedić — Miss, 0.02 xG47' Armin Gigović — Goal, 0.11 xG52' Ermedin Demirović — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG53' Kerim Alajbegović — AttemptSaved, 0.02 xG59' Kerim Alajbegović — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG62' Ivan Bašić — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG85' Amar Memić — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG90' Kerim Alajbegović — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG90' Sead Kolašinac — Miss, 0.03 xG5' Daniel Svensson — Goal, 0.04 xG9' Anthony Elanga — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG11' Viktor Gyökeres — Goal, 0.79 xG22' Alexander Isak — Miss, 0.16 xG22' Anthony Elanga — Miss, 0.12 xG27' Viktor Gyökeres — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG28' Yasin Ayari — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG45' Viktor Gyökeres — Goal, 0.79 xG51' Gustaf Lagerbielke — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG71' Benjamin Nygren — AttemptSaved, 0.05 xG73' Dejan Kulusevski — AttemptSaved, 0.09 xG87' Viktor Gyökeres — Miss, 0.01 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Questions

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