Ukraine vs Hungary Prediction, Score and Head-to-Head Analysis

INT - UEFA Nations League B Grp. 2

Ukraine

1 - 2

Finished

Hungary

Oct 5, 2026, 6:45 PM

Key Match Facts

Our tip
DC 1/X at 1.41 (78% probability).

EXPERT SCOUT VERDICT

ANALYST VERIFIED

Recommended Tip

DC 1/X
@1.41
Correct Score1-1
Probability78%
Value Edge: +4.8%
Market Role: Value Anchor
Risk Level: Low

Tactical Outlook

Ukraine enters this fixture with a disciplined defensive shape that has proven difficult for mid-tier European sides to break down. They utilize high-intensity pressing in the midfield transition to disrupt opponent rhythm and create turnover opportunities. By maintaining a compact block, they effectively limit space for the opposition to exploit through the middle, prioritizing defensive stability over reckless offensive expansion.

Lineup Impact

The confirmed availability of Ukraine's primary defensive anchor significantly bolsters their structural integrity for this matchup. With the creative playmaker expected to dictate tempo from a deep-lying position, the team maintains a superior retention rate compared to Hungary. Tactical rotations in the final third are expected to favor low-risk buildup, ensuring the team remains well-positioned to prevent dangerous counter-attacks.

Betting Verdict

Given the historical resilience of the home side and Hungary's struggles on the road, the double chance market offers significant mathematical value. The statistical likelihood of Ukraine avoiding defeat is bolstered by their superior positional discipline and home-pitch advantage. This selection represents a high-probability anchor for any portfolio, capturing value where the market has underestimated defensive consistency.

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Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Match Momentum Engine
Possession
52
48
Exp. Goals
1.55
1.28
Total Shots
16
10
Projected Starting Lineups - Waiting Confirmation

Ukraine

12Anatoliy Trubin
2Illia Krupskyi
13Ilya Zabarnyi
3Eduard Sarapiy
4Taras Mykhavko
18Oleg Ocheretko
19Yegor Nazaryna
15Viktor Tsigankov
22Igor Krasnopir
21Vladyslav Veleten
10Matviy Ponomarenko

Substitutes

20Maksym Khlan
9Roman Yaremchuk
11Vladyslav Vanat
17Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
16Ivan Varfolomeev
23Dmytro Riznyk
1Georgiy Yermakov
14Oleksandr Drambaev
5Valeriy Bondar
6Volodymyr Brazhko
7Andriy Yarmolenko
8Oleksandr Nazarenko

Hungary

1Balázs Tóth
2Attila Osváth
6Willi Orbán
3Márk Csinger
18Zsolt Nagy
13András Schäfer
10Dominik Szoboszlai
16Dániel Lukács
8Milán Vitális
21Alex Tóth
20Milan Toth

Substitutes

7Tamás Szucs
17Gabor Jurek
19Rajmund Tóth
11Jozsef Szalai
15Áron Csongvai
22Ármin Pécsi
12Bence Gundel-Takács
5Ákos Markgráf
23Aron Doktorics
4Bence Várkonyi
14Bendegúz Bolla
9Donat Barany

Shot Map

Every attempt · all attacks toward the right goal

Ukraine · 15 · 1.30 xGHungary · 10 · 1.28 xG
45' Attila Osváth — Miss, 0.01 xG47' Attila Osváth — AttemptSaved, 0.01 xG48' Milán Vitális — Miss, 0.03 xG52' Milan Toth — Goal, 0.48 xG59' András Schäfer — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG59' Alex Tóth — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG67' Willi Orbán — AttemptSaved, 0.06 xG77' Gabor Jurek — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG85' Márk Csinger — Goal, 0.51 xG88' Gabor Jurek — Miss, 0.08 xG11' Oleg Ocheretko — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG14' Yegor Nazaryna — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG18' Igor Krasnopir — AttemptSaved, 0.15 xG19' Matviy Ponomarenko — Miss, 0.32 xG27' Igor Krasnopir — AttemptSaved, 0.13 xG28' Matviy Ponomarenko — Miss, 0.09 xG55' Vladyslav Veleten — AttemptSaved, 0.04 xG71' Vladyslav Vanat — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG74' Oleksandr Pikhalyonok — AttemptSaved, 0.11 xG74' Vladyslav Vanat — Miss, 0.02 xG79' Taras Mykhavko — Miss, 0.01 xG83' Yegor Nazaryna — AttemptSaved, 0.12 xG89' Maksym Khlan — AttemptSaved, 0.03 xG89' Oleksandr Pikhalyonok — AttemptSaved, 0.12 xG90' Oleksandr Pikhalyonok — Miss, 0.05 xG

Ringed dots are goals. Hover any dot for minute, player, shot type and expected goals (xG).

Ukraine vs Hungary Questions

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