VPS vs HJK Prediction & H2H Stats | Finland - Veikkausliiga

Finland - Veikkausliiga

VPS

Jussi Nuorela

2 - 1

Finished

HJK

Joonas Rantanen

5/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Elisa Stadion

EXPERT VERDICT: VPS VS HJK

Recommended Tip

Over 1.5
@1.25
Value Edge: +10.0%
Prob. Success: 85%
Market Role: Safe Core Pick

"HJK is a stronger team (rank 4 vs 6) and holds a dominant away head-to-head record against VPS (7 wins out of 10). Despite HJK's recent draw-heavy form, they are expected to score, and VPS at home has also shown a capability to find the net, often in games with at least two goals. Over 1.5 goals is a very common outcome in football, and the provided odds of 1.25 imply an 80% probability, whereas my estimated probability is 88%, creating a significant positive value edge of +10%. This pick is a strong candidate for a 'Safe Core Pick' in a 'double' ticket due to its high likelihood and low risk."

Community Prediction

Who will secure the result today?

Official Confirmed Starting Lineups

VPS

41Mamadou Jalloh
2Lassana Mané
6Emmanuel Okereke
23Miika Niemi
27Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
34Antti-Ville Räisänen
8Paulo Lima
7Jayden Turfkruier
24Yassin Daoussi
11Jonathan Muzinga
15Luka Smyth
30Joonas Vahtera
14Simon Lindholm
13Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
12Lucas Väyrynen
5Vilmer Ronnberg
33Akon Kuek
26Rasmus Forsbacka
35Olavi Keturi

HJK

44Matej Marković
28Miska Ylitolva
24Emil Levealahti
6Ville Tikkanen
2Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
4Alexander Ring
10Lucas Lingman
15Jere Kallinen
26Lassi Lappalainen
20Teemu Pukki
7Alfie Cicale
9Mads Borchers
1Jesse Ă–st
22Liam Möller
17Martin Kirilov
18Toivo Mero
14Leonel Montano
61Valo Konttas
19David Ezeh

Match Depth Analysis

This fixture between VPS and HJK is a critical encounter in the Finland - Veikkausliiga. Our modeling has processed historical records and recent form to provide this prediction.

Historically, VPS shows strong home dominance. These insights are vital whether crafting a banker picks or selecting individual legs. Conversely, HJK relies on quick counter-attacks, a key factor for Over/Under value edges.

The current implied probability from odds is 80.0%, while our confidence stands at 85%, making it a strong candidate for professional bettors.

Match FAQ